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PHIMGC member Jay describes how the United States economy will absorb the health insurance workers who are laid off after the move to National Single Payer Healthcare reform:
1) A very significant number of those working for the insurance companies are doctors and nurses. If we were to get single payer enacted, there would be an upsurge of people who need medical care who's needs have been going unmet, and those skilled professional would be much in demand to cover the increased demand.
2) A number of the insurance companies' administrative staff would be needed in the administration of the public program.
3) Insurance companies are diversified- they provide many types of insurance, and the skills involved in risk assessment and claims adjusting, etc, are transferable to other types of insurance provision. These companies are essentially financial services companies, not wedded to only insurance, and there would be need for revision of many people's retirement plans in view of changed health care cost requirements, so a number of financial services people would be needed for that purpose.
Health insurance is the LEAST profitable of all types of insurance, so companies can also diversify into terrorism related services, global warming related dangers, and other areas in a changing world.
The main point is that these companies are known for their flexibility and innovation in creating new financial services in a globalizing world where Americans face increasing financial risk and insecurity, and I am certain they have a plan B for generating profitable services that would involve many of their current skilled staff. It might be an incentive for them to create even more profitable services than health insurance has ever been, with less of the bad publicity that health insurance generates.
4) For many years the main reason that business, especially small business that employees the majority of workers in the US), gives for their inability to expand and hire new workers is the cost of health insurance. Additionally, job lock is the primary reason new entrepreneurs give for being constrained in their dreams of starting a new business. They cannot leave their health insurance benefits, and cannot buy health insurance on the individual market because of excessively high premiums or pre-existing condition exclusions. There is great reason to believe the upsurge in new business start-ups would provide a very large number of new local jobs, less vulnerable to out-sourcing.
5) If we decided to use a Value Added Tax (VAT) as a partial revenue source for a single payer program it would add cost to imported goods (the same way a tariff would have), and would reduce the economic incentive for our current businesses to outsource their facilities for cheaper production costs overseas. They would have to pay more to get their goods back into the country. More jobs would stay here in the US.
The downside to the VAT is that it is more regressive than an income tax, or payroll tax, because it adds to the cost of consumer goods. It could be carefully designed to be more of a luxury tax, or "sin" tax, as they do in France, by excluding food and other basic consumer goods that cost more for the poor and middle class.
In compensation for the greater regressivity of the VAT we would gain jobs, and slow outsourcing. Other countries have a VAT, only the US does not. We could use the income tax in addition to the VAT to make funding single payer more progressive, this is how France finances their single payer system.
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